Macro Trends

The article leverages data points such as the surge in oil prices due to the Strait of Hormuz crisis, inflation expectations, and central banks' 36,000-ton gold reserves to reveal the divergence between Bitcoin and gold in the early stages of the crisis.

In February, the overall crypto market showed a weak trend, with notable outflows from BTC ETFs. Major blockchains remained stable throughout the month, with Solana leading by a wide margin at over 100 million daily transactions. Ethereum recorded 13.34 million unique active addresses, maintaining its second-highest level in history. TradFi trading volume on Perp DEXs surged to $47.3 billion, largely driven by Hyperliquid’s HIP-3. The Web3 sector completed 46 funding rounds totaling $986 million, with the top 10 projects accounting for $793 million—three major deals were led by Tether. Meanwhile, Web3 security incidents declined significantly month-over-month, though smart contract vulnerabilities remained the primary risk source.

The text shifts the perspective from the Middle East to the global stage, systematically assessing the energy dependence, reserve life, and social/political tipping points of Japan, South Korea, India, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, and China.

Gate Research Institute: Over the past 24 hours, BTC briefly climbed above $71,000, but following a sharp drop and quick rebound during the U.S. market session, it settled back near $69,300. ETH rapidly declined from $2,070 to $2,010 and remains in a recovery phase. Altcoins showed weakness, with most lagging behind BTC, while the Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear range. HUMA, NAORIS, and ARIA saw gains of 50.13%, 39.38%, and 29.02%, respectively, fueled by AI-related narratives. Additionally, Oracle’s earnings beat expectations, driving its share price up nearly 8% after hours, and both Hyperliquid and Circle announced significant product updates.

This article analyzes the shift in VC strategy from being judgment-driven to being driven by the ability to win deals. It highlights how scaled institutions like a16z, leveraging massive capital, full-spectrum services, and economic moats, are enabling capital-intensive giants such as OpenAI and Anthropic to prevail.

Gate Research: Between 2025 and 2026, PayFi is evolving from a crypto payment tool into a next-generation payment and financial engine, with stablecoins achieving scale in high-frequency and cross-border payments and demonstrating clear efficiency and cost advantages over traditional systems. As Web2 and Web3 continue to converge, institutions such as Visa, PayPal, and emerging neobanks are becoming key gateways to mainstream adoption, while the combination of stablecoins, real-world assets (RWA), and AI is shaping PayFi’s foundational architecture by enabling automated, always-on settlement, asset mobility, and risk management. Looking ahead to 2026, regulatory clarity, scalable asset tokenization, and the maturity of AI-driven financial systems will be the primary determinants of PayFi’s competitive landscape and long-term barriers.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH have both reclaimed key psychological levels at $90,000 and $3,000, respectively, signaling a clear recovery in market sentiment. Funds are rotating across multiple sectors, including exchange tokens, Layer-1s, and meme coins. S&P downgraded Tether–USDT’s stability rating to “Weak” but Stable; the Cosmos community has initiated a new ATOM token proposal, reigniting debate over token-economic risks; and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik donated to privacy-focused communication efforts. Plasma’s token has fallen 90% from its early peak, with the project still far from delivering on its ambitious promises. Bitcoin faces a $13.6 billion monthly options expiry this Friday, with 77% of open interest sitting out-of-the-money. Resulting hedging flows may continue to amplify short-term volatility.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 28, BTC saw a clear volume-driven breakout after several days of wide-range consolidation; ETH remains in a strong market structure; GT continues to maintain a solid short-term uptrend; and BBT became the spotlight with an impressive +83.14% surge. MegaETH issued full refunds due to disorganized pre-deposit fundraising and plans to relaunch its cross-chain bridge. The Monad mainnet has officially gone live, with multiple ecosystem projects releasing new earning opportunities. Meanwhile, Ethereum has raised its block gas limit to 60 million, reaching record-high throughput ahead of the upcoming Fusaka upgrade.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 21, BTC extended its downward trajectory after a period of volatile decline, showing a clear accelerating pullback pattern. Mirroring this trend, ETH also followed a similarly sharp correction. Meanwhile, TNSR became a market standout with a surge of more than 220%. FG Nexus sold over 10,000 ETH to raise funds for a stock buyback aimed at supporting its share price, while Tether announced an investment in Parfin to accelerate institutional adoption of USDT across Latin America. The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 15, signaling that overall market sentiment has returned to extreme fear.

BTC and ETH continue to trade in a weak, choppy structure, with prices trending lower and rebounds lacking strength. Volatility has spiked multiple times, reflecting fragile sentiment. On the derivatives side, leverage has not returned after a major deleveraging event, with open interest remaining at low levels. The concentrated long liquidations in early November further indicate declining confidence, suggesting that short-term downside risks remain. From a quantitative strategy perspective, the moving-average trend-breakout model has delivered strong performance in assets such as XRP, DOGE, and ADA, though it may still face signal delays and stop-loss whipsaws during strong one-sided trends. In contrast, the Gate Quant Fund employs a market-neutral arbitrage and hedging framework, emphasizing stable returns and risk control, offering investors a lower-volatility and more sustainable long-term allocation option.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 24, BTC’s current price has retraced to around $86,600. If it continues to break below the short-term moving average support, it may face further downside toward the $85,800–$84,500 support range. ETH showed a slightly bearish consolidation pattern, encountering resistance around $2,840 and currently oscillating near $2,780. Ethena’s Q3 fee revenue hit a record high, surpassing $150 million; video-sharing platform Rumble launched the Rumble Wallet, supporting BTC, XAUT, and USDT tipping; and Wormhole Labs introduced Sunrise, bringing assets like MON into the Solana ecosystem.

The article reveals the dynamic mechanisms of bubble formation and burst through the analysis of historical cases, highlighting the role of wealth disparity in this process, and explores the potential impacts of wealth tax on the economy and society.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin rebounded after stabilizing around the $86,000 level, likely supported by renewed expectations of rate cuts; Ethereum began a recovery on Tuesday after consolidating for several days in the $2,700–$2,800 range. PIPPIN surged 103.36%, driven by renewed popularity of its AI-themed narrative and meme storytelling within trader communities; L3’s recent rally—up 82.58% in the past 24 hours—was fueled primarily by its token-scarcity model. AVAX One spent approximately $110 million to acquire 9.37 million AVAX, while CME U.S. Treasury open interest hit a record high, signaling a decline in investor risk appetite.

Gate Research Daily Report: On November 26, the crypto market stabilized amid extreme fear, with the Fear & Greed Index remaining at 15. BTC rose 0.57% while ETH gained 0.79%. Among top movers, Monad (+43.61%) saw strong inflows driven by its mainnet launch and rapid ecosystem deployment; Story Network (+21.66%) rallied on the launch of prediction markets, the migration of education and cultural datasets on-chain, and support from a publicly listed company; ICNT (+20.80%) gained traction following the release of its Q4 network metrics and the announcement of its “4-layer cloud stack.”At the industry level, Circle Arc introduced Gateway to enhance cross-chain USDC liquidity; crypto venture funding climbed to $4.59B in Q3, though capital remained highly concentrated; and USDe TVL drops to $7.6 billion, more than halving from its October level.

This article offers a thorough analysis of the recent Reuters “DOGE Dissolution” hoax, exposing the underlying factors driving media narratives, political polarization, and bureaucratic tactics. It systematically examines the differing perspectives on DOGE’s viability. The article also presents specific outcomes related to budget reductions, workforce downsizing, and contract terminations achieved by Musk’s team. Additionally, it examines the government’s complex transition from aggressive reforms to institutional reforms. By analyzing the ideological clash between Scott Kupor and Musk, the article demonstrates how DOGE continues to influence Washington’s power dynamics and the direction of reform efforts.